Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.144377 0.168964 0.196008 0.227897 0.264404 0.304824 0.352896
2026-02-01 0.100829 0.133133 0.172573 0.223962 0.288809 0.367543 0.469962
2026-02-08 0.076712 0.111065 0.156446 0.220120 0.306367 0.418225 0.573207
2026-02-15 0.059393 0.093063 0.140622 0.211623 0.313588 0.453135 0.656558
2026-02-22 0.052375 0.087666 0.140360 0.223121 0.347736 0.525777 0.795977
2026-03-01 0.042855 0.076517 0.129560 0.217035 0.354815 0.559805 0.882837
2026-03-08 0.035073 0.066599 0.118873 0.209113 0.357310 0.586170 0.959424
2026-03-15 0.029450 0.059252 0.111074 0.204394 0.363628 0.617999 1.045925
2026-03-22 0.026212 0.055556 0.108802 0.208350 0.384027 0.673092 1.172654
2026-03-29 0.024168 0.053728 0.109483 0.217316 0.413448 0.744796 1.331267
2026-04-05 0.021795 0.050823 0.107725 0.221520 0.434723 0.804295 1.473748
2026-04-12 0.019364 0.047362 0.104387 0.222256 0.449599 0.853680 1.602276
2026-04-19 0.017085 0.043889 0.100664 0.222012 0.463023 0.902294 1.734528
2026-04-26 0.014872 0.040171 0.095932 0.219211 0.471347 0.942543 1.855324
2026-05-03 0.012911 0.036660 0.091106 0.215541 0.477434 0.978892 1.971375
2026-05-10 0.010905 0.032627 0.084506 0.207213 0.473166 0.995169 2.051080
2026-05-17 0.010441 0.032490 0.086781 0.218495 0.510215 1.093283 2.291632
2026-05-24 0.008997 0.029419 0.081670 0.212524 0.510235 1.118786 2.394266
2026-05-31 0.007661 0.026359 0.076104 0.204751 0.505458 1.134095 2.477659
2026-06-07 0.006661 0.024057 0.072089 0.200122 0.507065 1.162313 2.588367
2026-06-14 0.006149 0.023148 0.071579 0.204003 0.528276 1.232696 2.789021
2026-06-21 0.005877 0.022951 0.072962 0.212799 0.561628 1.330988 3.053149
2026-06-28 0.005450 0.022150 0.072553 0.216925 0.584287 1.407777 3.276943